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Will the UK reconsider labeling the Syrian rebel group HTS as a terrorist organization?

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The leader of Syria's Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, addresses a crowd in Damascus' landmark Umayyad Mosque on 8 December, 2024.

The British government is contemplating the removal of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) from its designated list of terrorist organizations, following the group’s recent success in Syria and the decline of the Assad regime.

This potential action prompts inquiries regarding the legal process involved in revoking the designation.

Since 2017, HTS has been classified by the UK’s Home Office as an “alternative name” for al-Qaeda, the militant group responsible for the 2001 World Trade Center attacks.

While Prime Minister Keir Starmer remarked on Monday that it is “far too early” to determine HTS’s status, Cabinet Office minister Pat McFadden indicated that a “relatively swift decision” would be necessary, and the matter “would need to be addressed promptly.”

Notably, there is a precedent for the delisting of British terrorist organizations.

A recent case is the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG), an anti-Gaddafi organization established in 1990 by Libyan veterans who fought against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan.

The British government designated the LIFG as a proscribed terrorist organization in 2005, characterizing it as aiming to create a “hard-line Islamic state” and being part of the broader Islamist extremist movement influenced by al-Qaeda. The LIFG has denied any affiliation with al-Qaeda.

In November 2019, the LIFG was removed from the government’s list of designated terrorist organizations, despite revelations that Salman Abedi, the perpetrator of the Manchester Arena bombing in May 2017 that resulted in 22 fatalities, had been partially influenced by members of LIFG.

Parliamentary Process

Following the ousting of Bashar al-Assad, there has been ongoing speculation regarding the potential delisting of HTS as a terrorist organization.

However, the government cannot unilaterally decide to revoke its proscribed status. The home secretary, Yvette Cooper, can only consider such a move if an organization or individual affected by the proscription submits a formal application.

The Home Office indicated that LIFG was delisted “after receiving an application to deproscribe the organization.”

Should an application for HTS’s deproscription be submitted, the home secretary would have a period of 90 days to reach a decision.

If the government opts to deproscribe HTS, a formal order must be presented to Parliament and approved by both the House of Commons and the House of Lords.

Given Labour’s substantial majority in Parliament, it is improbable that the government would encounter significant challenges in removing the group’s designation.

There has been increasing advocacy for HTS to be deproscribed, enabling the UK to officially interact with the organization.

Lord Ricketts, a former national security adviser in the UK, has urged Britain to collaborate with its G7 allies to “conduct swift due diligence and jointly lift the prohibitions,” emphasizing that “the opportunity to influence various insurgent factions towards inclusive governance may be fleeting.”

Former MI6 chief Sir John Sawers has also advocated for the UK to reevaluate its ban on HTS.

He, along with others, contended this week that the organization has undergone considerable transformation in recent years.

In 2016, HTS leader Abu Mohammad Jolani (real name Ahmed al-Sharaa) publicly severed ties with al-Qaeda and has since committed to safeguarding minorities and honoring Syria’s diversity.

Sawers expressed to Sky News that he believes Jolani “has made significant strides over the past decade to distance himself from those terrorist factions.”

“Certainly, the actions we’ve observed from Tahrir al-Sham in the last two weeks reflect those of a liberation movement rather than a terrorist group,” he stated following Assad’s ousting.

“It would be quite absurd if we were unable to engage with the new leadership in Syria due to a proscription that is over a decade old.”

McFadden seemed to adopt a comparable stance, stating to the BBC on Monday that Jolani “has distanced himself from some of the previous statements. He is articulating the right messages regarding the protection of minorities and the respect for individual rights.”

He continued: “Currently, we cannot predict the future of Syria, whether it will lead to an improved situation for the nation or descend into further chaos; uncertainty prevails.”

“However, if stability is achieved, there will be a need to determine how to approach the new regime that may emerge.”

Conversely, Emily Thornberry, the Labour chair of the foreign affairs select committee, cautioned the government against hastily reaching a decision.

“The last thing the Syrian populace desires is to see one tyrant replaced by another bearing an Islamic flag,” she remarked.

Nonetheless, there appears to be a prevailing sentiment within the government that engagement with HTS is necessary.

According to the UK’s terrorism legislation, it is unlawful to organize or facilitate any meeting with the knowledge that it supports a proscribed organization.

It is also illegal to solicit support for or glorify a designated terrorist group.

Despite these restrictions, Downing Street emphasized on Tuesday that the British government can still engage with HTS, with Starmer’s official spokesperson stating: “The designation of HTS as a proscribed terrorist group does not preclude the government from future engagement with HTS.”

He clarified that engagement might involve, for instance, organizing meetings aimed at motivating a specific group to participate in a peace process or to assist in the distribution of humanitarian aid.

The Biden administration’s stance

It is improbable that the British government would remove the designation of HTS unless the United States took the lead in doing so.

The Biden administration is currently evaluating this issue; Middle East Eye reported earlier this week that officials have been discussing the potential benefits of lifting a $10 million bounty on Jolani.

Jolani has been classified as a terrorist by the US since 2013, while the HTS was designated as such by the Trump administration in 2018.

President Joe Biden stated shortly after the fall of Damascus that the US would consider “not only [the rebels’] statements but also their actions.”

However, President-elect Trump, who is set to take office in just five weeks, has indicated that Washington “should have nothing to do with it [Syria],” without referencing the Syrian opposition or the US’s allies in Syria.

The US supports rebel groups operating from the al-Tanf desert outpost, located in the tri-border region of Jordan, Iraq, and Syria.

China and Egypt have reached a consensus on the importance of fostering peace in the Middle East

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China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi stated that Beijing and Egypt share a mutual commitment to fostering peace and dialogue to ensure stability in the Middle East, as reported by a media pool.

These comments were made during a meeting with Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty in Beijing on Friday. Wang expressed that both nations are significantly troubled by the ongoing situation in Syria and emphasized the importance of upholding the country’s sovereignty, independence, and territorial integrity.

Additionally, he noted that both countries support the recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon.

Russian troops are advancing toward a key city in eastern Ukraine, a war blogger reports

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A view shows a destroyed bridge, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in the town of Pokrovsk in Donetsk region, Ukraine.

Russian forces are currently positioned just 1.5 kilometers (1 mile) from the Ukrainian city of Pokrovsk, following an advance from the south towards this critical road and rail hub, which had a pre-war population of 60,000, as reported by a well-known pro-Russian blogger on Friday.

According to open-source maps, Russia has gained control over an area in Ukraine comparable to the size of Virginia and is making its fastest advances since the early stages of the 2022 invasion. Yuri Podolyaka, a notable military blogger of Ukrainian origin who supports Russia, indicated that Russian troops are now within 1.5 kilometers of Pokrovsk after their southern push. He also mentioned that Russian sabotage and reconnaissance units, which operate ahead of the main forces, have already infiltrated the city.

Due to reporting restrictions, Reuters has been unable to independently verify the battlefield claims from either side. In recent days, Ukraine’s military has reported that Russian forces have either destroyed or taken control of several Ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk.

The loss of this city, a vital logistics center for the Ukrainian military, would represent one of Ukraine’s most significant military setbacks in recent months. Gaining control of Pokrovsk, referred to by Russian media as “the gateway to Donetsk,” would enable Moscow to significantly disrupt Ukrainian supply routes along the eastern front and enhance its efforts to capture the strategically important city of Chasiv Yar, which is situated on elevated terrain that could provide broader control over the surrounding area.

Restricting the Ukrainian military’s access to the roadways in the surrounding area would complicate Kyiv’s ability to maintain control over territories flanking Pokrovsk, potentially enabling Russia to strengthen and push forward its front line.

Additionally, the city is home to a mine that serves as Ukraine’s sole domestic supplier of coking coal for its formerly robust steel sector. According to an industry source on Thursday, Ukrainian steel producer Metinvest BV has suspended certain operations at the mine due to its closeness to advancing Russian forces along the conflict’s front line.

Blinken stresses to Erdogan the need for all parties to ensure the safety of Syrian civilians

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During a meeting on Thursday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken urged Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to prioritize the protection of Syrian civilians following the overthrow of the Bashar al-Assad regime by Turkish-backed rebels. For ongoing updates, please refer to our liveblog.

In his discussions with Erdogan in Turkey, Blinken emphasized the necessity of safeguarding Syrian civilians after the Islamist factions supported by Ankara dismantled the government in Damascus.

According to State Department spokesman Matthew Miller, Blinken stressed the importance of all parties in Syria adhering to human rights standards, upholding international humanitarian law, and taking all possible measures to protect civilians, particularly those from minority groups.

Turkey has highlighted its security concerns in the wake of the turmoil in Syria, where it has been engaged in conflict with a Kurdish-led force that the United States supports as a crucial ally in the battle against the Islamic State (IS) group. Blinken recognized Turkey’s “real and clear interests” regarding the PKK, which Ankara associates with Kurdish fighters in Syria.

Blinken also conveyed to Erdogan the necessity of maintaining the coalition’s efforts to defeat ISIS, as stated by Miller. He remarked, “At the same time, we want to avoid igniting any further conflicts within Syria.” In a statement to reporters in Aqaba, Jordan, he added, “It is essential to prevent ISIS from resurfacing, and a key component in achieving this is the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), which we have been supporting.”

Bangladesh has urged European countries to relocate their visa processing centers for its citizens from New Delhi

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In a notable diplomatic development amid the ongoing tensions between India and Bangladesh, Prof Muhammad Yunus, the head of Bangladesh’s interim government, has urged European nations to relocate their visa processing centers for Bangladeshi citizens from New Delhi. Currently, many European countries have their visa centers situated in New Delhi, and Yunus has proposed that these facilities be moved to Dhaka or to a neighboring country.

“Transferring visa offices to Dhaka or a nearby nation would be advantageous for both Bangladesh and the European Union,” Yunus stated during discussions with diplomats.

This appeal was made during a meeting held at his office in Tejgaon, Dhaka, which included representatives from over 19 European countries, both based in Dhaka and New Delhi.

Israel is reportedly gearing up to target Iranian nuclear facilities

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The Israeli Air Force is reportedly preparing for possible strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, according to military officials speaking to the Times of Israel.

West Jerusalem perceives that the unexpected takeover of Syria by jihadist factions has diminished Tehran’s influence in the region, potentially accelerating Iran’s nuclear ambitions, as noted by the publication.

In the meantime, Israeli airstrikes have significantly degraded Syrian air defenses, facilitating a potential operation against Iran.

Tehran has consistently maintained that its nuclear program is intended for peaceful and civilian purposes, countering claims from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons. In 2015, the leading five nuclear powers reached an agreement with Iran to oversee its nuclear activities in exchange for the lifting of sanctions; however, the United States withdrew from this accord in 2018.

Reports indicate that Israel contemplated strikes on Iranian nuclear sites following Tehran’s missile attack on October 1, but ultimately decided against executing those plans.

Netanyahu’s administration has leveraged the recent developments in Syria to undermine its neighbor’s military capabilities, conducting what has been described as “one of the largest attack operations in the history” of the Israeli Air Force. Earlier this week, Israeli aircraft targeted over 250 locations across Syria, including airports, seaports, air defense systems, missile sites, military production facilities, and storage depots. Additionally, Israeli forces advanced beyond the buffer zone in the Golan Heights, asserting control over Mount Hermon.

Last week, Bashar Assad’s government in Syria was ousted by militants from Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), although the jihadist group has yet to establish firm control.

Israel is said to perceive Iran as being “isolated” following the removal of Assad, with the belief that Hezbollah, its primary ally in the region based in Lebanon, has been considerably weakened due to the recent IDF operations. This situation may prompt Iran to accelerate its nuclear program and could potentially open a window for an Israeli pre-emptive strike, as reported by the Times of Israel.

Trump is urging the EU to send military forces to Ukraine, reports the Wall Street Journal

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US President-elect Donald Trump has suggested that European Union member states deploy peacekeepers to Ukraine to oversee a ceasefire with Russia, as reported by the Wall Street Journal on Thursday, referencing sources familiar with the discussions.

During his campaign, Trump pledged to swiftly negotiate an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, yet he has been hesitant to disclose specific details of his proposal since his election victory.

In a conversation with French President Emmanuel Macron and Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky last Saturday, Trump emphasized that Europe should take the lead in monitoring the ceasefire, asserting that no American troops would participate, according to the Journal’s sources who were informed about the meeting.

The report indicates that the proposal originated from preliminary talks between British and French officials before expanding to include Trump, Zelensky, and other nations.

One source mentioned that Trump also urged the EU to encourage China to exert pressure on Russia to resolve the conflict, proposing the use of tariffs as a means of leverage.

The Journal notes that discussions are still in the early phases, leaving unresolved questions regarding which countries would participate, the number of troops involved, and any potential US support for the mission.

The proposed peacekeeping or monitoring operation in Ukraine would not fall under NATO’s command but would involve troops from countries within the US-led alliance, according to unnamed officials, who expressed uncertainty about Russia’s acceptance of such a plan.

Additionally, it remains unclear whether Washington’s European allies could provide the necessary troops or secure domestic political backing for the mission. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has invited the leaders of the UK, France, Germany, Italy, and Poland to meet with Zelensky in Brussels to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine, as reported by two officials to the Journal.

 

What plans do Bashar al-Assad and his family have in Russia, and where will they reside?

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Exiled former Syrian leader Bashar Assad should play a role in the reconstruction of Russian cities affected by the conflict in Ukraine, according to Russian politician Dmitry Kuznetsov. He suggested that Assad might be eligible for Russian citizenship.

Assad, who led Syria for nearly 25 years, was ousted earlier this month when a coalition of armed opposition groups, primarily composed of Islamists from Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), swiftly captured Damascus.

The Kremlin has stated that Assad and his family have been granted asylum in Russia. Since the fall of the Syrian capital on Sunday, he has not made any public appearances or issued statements, leaving his future plans uncertain.

Kuznetsov, a member of the parliamentary foreign relations committee, expressed to Gazeta.Ru on Thursday that he believes Assad and his family could become benefactors in one of the war-torn areas of Donbass and potentially relocate to one of the newly constructed homes in Mariupol.

Mariupol, a Black Sea port city now part of Russia’s Donetsk People’s Republic, was taken by Russian forces in 2022 following a prolonged siege. Russian authorities are currently engaged in the city’s reconstruction efforts.

“I support the idea of [Assad] demonstrating his commitment to the Russian people, and based on his contributions to the recovery of Donbass, we could then discuss the possibility of citizenship,” Kuznetsov stated.

Another lawmaker, Aleksey Zhuravlyov, previously argued that Assad merits citizenship due to his significant contributions to Russia.

Russian officials have indicated that Assad has opted to resign after discussions with unnamed opposition factions. Mikhail Ulyanov, a prominent Russian diplomat, characterized the decision to offer Assad asylum as a demonstration that Moscow “does not abandon its allies in challenging times.”

Russia’s involvement in the Syrian civil war began in 2015, aimed at supporting the Assad regime against various opposition groups and the terrorist organization Islamic State (IS, previously known as ISIS). Although the future of Russian military installations in Syria is uncertain, the Russian Foreign Ministry has stated that it continues to engage with the newly established HTS-led authorities in Damascus, assuring that its diplomats and military personnel are not facing any immediate danger.

A Ukrainian official stated that Kyiv is not ready to talk with Russia

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy‘s chief of staff stated in a late Thursday interview that Kyiv is not yet prepared to initiate discussions with Russia, citing a lack of necessary weapons, security assurances, and the international standing it desires.

Andriy Yermak’s remarks to the public broadcaster Suspilne come as Zelenskiy contemplates the potential for a negotiated resolution to the conflict that began with Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022.

“Not at this moment,” Yermak responded when asked about Ukraine’s readiness for negotiations. “We lack the weapons and the status we are seeking, which includes an invitation to NATO and a clear understanding of guarantees that would ensure (Russian President Vladimir) Putin does not return in two to three years.”

In recent statements alongside German opposition leader Friedrich Merz, Zelenskiy expressed Ukraine’s desire to end the war, emphasizing the need to strengthen the nation and compel the Kremlin to pursue peace.

The president has also indicated that discussions could occur even if Russia retains control over the territories it has occupied during the invasion. However, he stressed that Ukraine requires a formal invitation for NATO membership, applicable to the areas under Kyiv’s control, along with genuine security guarantees.

During a visit to Paris last week, Zelenskiy met with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who has expressed a desire for a swift conclusion to the conflict, albeit without providing specific details.

Russia has consistently opposed the idea of Ukraine joining NATO, with Putin asserting that Kyiv must acknowledge the Kremlin’s annexation of four Ukrainian regions that it only partially governs.

China has stated it will strongly oppose any activities supporting Taiwan’s independence

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China’s defense ministry addressed the recent surge of military activities near Taiwan on Friday, asserting that the decision to conduct drills rests solely with China. The ministry emphasized that the military would remain active in countering separatist forces.

In response to a significant increase in Chinese military maneuvers around the island and in the East and South China Seas, Taiwan’s defense ministry heightened its alert status and activated an emergency response center on Monday.

While China’s military has not officially announced any drills, Beijing maintains that Taiwan, which operates under a democratic government, is part of its territory. This assertion is firmly rejected by Taipei, which insists that only the people of Taiwan have the authority to determine their future.

In a statement regarding Taiwan President Lai Ching-te’s recent trips to Hawaii and Guam, the Chinese defense ministry refrained from confirming or denying the occurrence of drills but referenced the ancient military strategist Sun Zi.

“Just as water takes on no fixed form, warfare is characterized by ever-changing conditions,” the ministry quoted, highlighting the unpredictable nature of military engagements. It further stated, “The decision to conduct exercises, and the timing thereof, is ours to make based on our needs and the current situation. Regardless of whether exercises are conducted, the People’s Liberation Army will remain vigilant and resolute in its efforts against independence and in favor of reunification.”

Any dependence on “foreign forces to pursue independence”—the typical phrase employed by China to caution the United States against supporting Taiwan—will face severe repercussions and is “destined to fail,” the ministry stated.

This year, China has conducted two series of military exercises around Taiwan, the latest occurring in October in response to Lai’s national day, which they characterized as a warning against “separatist actions” and pledged to take further measures if necessary.

Security analysts had anticipated that China would conduct drills in conjunction with Lai’s visit to the U.S., as well as to convey a message to the incoming Trump administration regarding China’s boundaries.

On Thursday, the de facto U.S. embassy in Taiwan noted that Chinese military activities in the area were currently heightened, but did not interpret this increased activity as a direct reaction to Lai’s visit to the U.S.

Later that day, Taiwan’s defense ministry announced the disbandment of its emergency response center, indicating the conclusion of the current phase of Chinese military maneuvers.

On Friday morning, the ministry reported that only 12 Chinese military aircraft had been observed operating in the vicinity over the past 24 hours, a decrease from the 34 noted the previous day.

Additionally, Taiwan’s coast guard reported that nine Chinese coast guard vessels, which had been positioned off the island’s southeast and southwest coasts, had moved northward after engaging in “unwarranted” activities in recent days.

The coast guard also released images and videos of its ships monitoring Chinese vessels off the island’s east coast amid rough seas and overcast skies.

Trump opposes Ukraine’s recent incursions into Russian territory using Western weapons

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A US-made Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) is pictured in Queensland, Australia.

US President-elect Donald Trump has expressed his disapproval of Ukraine‘s recent strikes into Russian territory using weapons supplied by the West, arguing that such actions only intensify the ongoing conflict between Kyiv and Moscow.

In an interview with Time magazine, which recognized him as the 2024 Person of the Year, Trump stated, “I strongly disagree with launching missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. What is the purpose of that?”

He emphasized that these attacks merely serve to escalate the war and worsen the situation. “This should not have been permitted… I believe this is a significant error, a very significant error,” he remarked regarding the strikes on Russia’s internationally recognized borders.

Later in the discussion, Trump reiterated his concerns, labeling the current situation as “the most dangerous thing right now,” pointing out that “[Ukrainian leader Vladimir] Zelensky has chosen, with what I assume is President [Joe Biden]’s approval, to begin firing missiles into Russia.”

He characterized this move as a serious escalation and described it as a misguided choice.

Trump’s remarks followed a report from the Russian Defense Ministry, which indicated that Ukrainian forces had launched six US-supplied ATACMS missiles at a military airfield near Taganrog. According to the ministry, two missiles were intercepted, while the others were neutralized through electronic warfare, resulting in minor injuries and damage to a couple of buildings and vehicles.

On the same day, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia’s response to the attack on Taganrog “will occur at a time and in a manner deemed appropriate. However, it will certainly happen.”

In late November, Russia deployed its advanced Oreshnik hypersonic ballistic missile system for the first time, targeting the Yuzhmash military facility located in the Ukrainian city of Dnepr.

Moscow stated that the introduction of this cutting-edge weapon was a reaction to the support provided by Washington and its allies, which enabled Ukraine to strike recognized Russian territory using the long-range armaments supplied to Kiev.

At that time, Russian President Vladimir Putin cautioned that should Ukraine persist in its assaults deep within Russian borders, Moscow would retain the right “to utilize our weapons against the military installations of those nations that permit the use of their arms against our assets.”

Trump has invited several international leaders, including Xi Jinping, to his inauguration, but not Putin

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U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has extended invitations to Chinese President Xi Jinping and several other international leaders for his inauguration scheduled next month in Washington, as confirmed by a spokesperson for the Trump transition team on Thursday.

When asked about Xi’s response, Karoline Leavitt mentioned in an interview with Fox News that it was still “to be determined.” She did not disclose the names of the other invited leaders.

“This demonstrates President Trump’s commitment to fostering open communication with leaders from both allied and adversarial nations,” she stated. “He is prepared to engage with anyone while prioritizing the interests of America.”

In a separate statement on Thursday, the Kremlin indicated that it had not received an invitation to the inauguration set for January 20. The invitation for Xi to attend Trump’s swearing-in was reportedly issued in early November, shortly after the presidential election on November 5, as first reported by CBS News.

United States sees Assad’s downfall as a chance to permanently eliminate Syria’s chemical weapons

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An anti-government fighter tears down a portrait of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad in Aleppo, after jihadists and their allies entered the northern Syrian city.

The United States views the downfall of Bashar al-Assad as a significant opportunity to eliminate Syria‘s chemical weapons, which have resulted in numerous casualties during the civil conflict, according to a senior U.S. official on Thursday.

Nicole Shampaine, the U.S. ambassador to the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), stated in an interview with Reuters that Washington will provide strong support for the global chemical weapons watchdog’s efforts to dismantle Syria’s chemical stockpile. This statement comes ahead of a closed-door OPCW meeting focused on Syria in The Hague.

The meeting, scheduled to commence at 1430 GMT, is expected to see the OPCW’s director general request approval from key member states for funding and technical support necessary to carry out a lengthy chemical nonproliferation process in Syria.

Syria became a member of the OPCW in 2013 as part of a U.S.-Russian agreement, committing to the destruction of its chemical weapons. However, despite over a decade of inspections, Syria continues to retain prohibited munitions, and investigations have confirmed that such weapons were repeatedly deployed by Assad’s forces throughout the 13-year civil war.

Shampaine emphasized the importance of completing this task, stating that it presents a unique chance for Syria’s new leadership to collaborate with the international community and the OPCW to fulfill their obligations. She anticipates significant support for leveraging this opportunity to ensure Syria adheres to the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC).

The OPCW, based in the Netherlands, is responsible for enforcing the 1997 chemical nonproliferation treaty and has overseen the destruction of 1,300 metric tons of Syrian chemical weapons and precursors, with a substantial amount processed on a U.S. vessel equipped with specialized hydrolysis systems.

Syria, under the rule of Assad and supported by Russia, has consistently denied allegations of using chemical weapons during the ongoing civil war. However, three separate investigations—conducted by a joint U.N.-OPCW mechanism, the OPCW’s Investigation and Identification team, and a U.N. war crimes inquiry—have determined that Syrian government forces employed the nerve agent sarin and chlorine-filled barrel bombs against opposition groups throughout the protracted conflict.

PRECARIOUS SITUATION

As Syria remains fragmented with numerous armed factions operating across the war-torn nation, the OPCW is likely to prioritize swift action to prevent any chemical weapons from being misappropriated.

According to diplomatic sources, immediate actions include identifying and securing chemical weapons sites, cataloging existing chemicals and munitions, and establishing safe methods for their destruction. The end of the Assad family’s 54-year reign also presents a chance to access locations where chemical weapons were deployed and gather crucial evidence.

Diplomats within the OPCW believe that Assad’s departure may facilitate access to the facilities involved in the production and storage of chemical weapons, which have included sarin, chlorine bombs, and other toxic munitions. The OPCW has engaged in 28 rounds of discussions with Assad’s administration, yet unresolved matters persist, particularly regarding “potentially undeclared, full-scale development and production of chemical weapons at two declared chemical weapons-related facilities,” as noted by OPCW chief Fernando Arias in November.

The matter will be addressed during Thursday’s meeting of the OPCW’s 41-member executive council, which has been called in response to the unexpected downfall of Assad’s government following a rapid rebel assault that broke a prolonged period of military deadlock.

“The Syrian regime, under Assad, has repeatedly employed chemical weapons, including sarin and chlorine barrel bombs, without ever reporting these incidents to the OPCW or ensuring their verified destruction. This raises significant proliferation concerns,” Shampaine stated.

Pope Francis calls for new international agreements on debt and military spending

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Pope Francis, with a large bruise on his chin, speaks during the Immaculate Conception celebration prayer near the Spanish Steps in Rome, Italy.

Pope Francis emphasized the need for new international agreements on Thursday to alleviate the debt challenges confronting low-income nations and to redirect financial resources from military expenditures towards the fight against global hunger.

In a statement released in anticipation of the 2025 Roman Catholic Holy Year, commencing on December 24, the pontiff highlighted that issues such as climate change, armed conflicts, and the inequitable treatment of migrants pose significant threats to humanity’s survival.

He remarked, “Isolated acts of charity are insufficient. We require cultural and structural transformations to achieve lasting change.”

Catholic Holy Years, or Jubilees, typically occur every 25 years and are recognized as periods of peace, forgiveness, and reconciliation. This Jubilee will extend until January 6, 2026.

The pope’s appeal, made in advance of the Jubilee, forms part of his annual message for the World Day of Peace, observed on January 1.

Titled “Forgive us our trespasses: grant us your peace,” the message is traditionally directed to global leaders and heads of organizations like the United Nations.

Additionally, the pope called for the abolition of the death penalty worldwide, a stance supported by the Catholic Church. Throughout his 11-year papacy, Francis has consistently urged wealthier nations to forgive the debts of poorer countries. In this latest message, he pointed out that many developing nations are also burdened by an “ecological debt” resulting from the anticipated effects of climate change.

The pontiff stated that foreign debt has evolved into a tool of domination, allowing certain governments and private financial entities from wealthier nations to exploit the human and natural resources of less affluent countries without scruples or discrimination.

Israel and Palestinian representatives are discussing a Gaza ceasefire, facilitated by a U.S. envoy

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Palestinians react after a school sheltering displaced people was hit by an Israeli strike, at Beach camp in Gaza City .

Efforts are underway between Israelis and Palestinians to establish a ceasefire agreement, marking their first attempt in a year to halt the ongoing conflict in Gaza and facilitate the return of some hostages currently held in the Palestinian territory.

This cautious optimism arises as U.S. President Joe Biden‘s national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, engages in discussions with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel on Thursday, prior to his visits to Egypt and Qatar, which are co-mediators alongside the U.S. in these negotiations.

A Western diplomat in the area indicated that a potential agreement is forming, although it is expected to be limited, likely involving the release of a small number of hostages and a brief cessation of hostilities. This proposed truce would represent only the second since the conflict escalated in October 2023 and could also lead to the release of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel.

David Barnea, head of Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency, met with Qatar’s Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, in Doha on Wednesday to discuss the ceasefire and hostage release.

Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz communicated with U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin on Wednesday, expressing that there is now a possibility for an agreement that would facilitate the return of all hostages, including American citizens, according to Katz’s office. However, any agreement beyond a limited truce appears unlikely as both parties maintain demands that have obstructed previous negotiations. Hamas insists on an end to the conflict before all hostages are released, while Israel asserts that hostilities will continue until Hamas is no longer in control of Gaza or poses a threat to Israeli security.

The conflict erupted when Hamas militants invaded Israeli communities in October 2023, resulting in approximately 1,200 fatalities and the abduction of around 250 individuals, as reported by Israeli sources. In response, the Israeli military has conducted extensive operations in Gaza, leading to the deaths of nearly 45,000 Palestinians and displacing almost the entire population of 2.3 million, which has triggered severe food shortages and health crises, according to Palestinian health officials.

‘SEVERE CONSEQUENCES’

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has insisted that Hamas must release the hostages in Gaza prior to his inauguration on January 20. He has warned that failure to do so will result in “severe consequences.” Trump’s appointed hostage envoy, Adam Boehler, has indicated his involvement in the situation, having already communicated with both President Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. Currently, around 100 hostages remain in Gaza, including seven U.S. citizens.

Boehler stated in an interview with Israel’s Channel 13 news last week: “I urge those holding hostages to negotiate the best possible deal now. Delaying will only make it more difficult, and more lives will be lost among Hamas.” Although Biden and Trump are pursuing separate initiatives, their objectives align, and both could benefit from a resolution. A U.S. official noted that Trump’s public calls for a prompt ceasefire have not been detrimental. The primary focus remains on securing the hostages’ return, whether during Biden’s presidency or at the beginning of Trump’s administration.

Steve Witkoff, appointed by Trump as the Middle East envoy, held separate meetings in late November with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Qatar’s Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, according to a source familiar with the discussions.

OPTIMAL TIMING FOR NETANYAHU

The current circumstances may present an unprecedented opportunity for Netanyahu to negotiate a deal. On Monday, the prime minister indicated to reporters that the growing isolation of Hamas, following the decline of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime, has created a potential pathway for a hostage agreement, although he cautioned that it is premature to declare any success.

The recent public optimism expressed by Israeli leaders aligns with the prevailing sentiment in private discussions, as noted by an Israeli official. For Netanyahu, making concessions is now more feasible, given that Israel has reaffirmed its status as the dominant power in the Middle East, while the threats from Iran-aligned adversaries in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria have diminished.

Additionally, Netanyahu’s coalition has gained strength with the inclusion of Foreign Minister Gideon Saar and his centrist faction. Having secured a ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon, Netanyahu is now positioned to finalize the situation with the return of the hostages.

Over the last year, certain far-right ministers within his cabinet expressed their dissent, even threatening to destabilize the government if the conflict in Gaza were to conclude. However, with Israel’s adversaries diminished and his coalition more robust, Netanyahu finds himself in a significantly stronger political position.

On Monday, Saar indicated that Israel is now more hopeful regarding a potential hostage agreement, following reports that Hamas has requested assistance from other factions in Gaza to create a list of Israeli and foreign hostages in their possession, regardless of their status.

A Palestinian official involved in the discussions and knowledgeable about the stances of all parties described the situation as a “fever of negotiations,” with proposals emerging from various sides, including mediators from Egypt and Qatar.

The involvement of Trump has reportedly invigorated the negotiations, according to the Palestinian official. He noted that Hamas is prepared to exhibit some flexibility, provided there are assurances that Israel will refrain from resuming hostilities.

Did the United States provide financial support to the Syrian rebels who overthrew Assad?

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The leader of Syria's Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, addresses a crowd in Damascus' landmark Umayyad Mosque on 8 December, 2024.

Following a swift offensive by Syrian opposition forces that captured major cities and ultimately resulted in the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, US President Joe Biden publicly acknowledged the role of the United States in the rebel success.

“Our strategy has altered the power dynamics in the Middle East,” Biden stated earlier this week.

“By combining support for our allies, implementing sanctions, engaging in diplomacy, and utilizing targeted military action when necessary, we are witnessing new possibilities emerging for the people of Syria and the broader region.”

Biden’s remarks, along with a surge of speculation suggesting that Washington and Israel were covertly supporting the offensive, have reignited discussions regarding the US’s involvement in Syria over the last fifteen years.

The United States initially entered the Syrian civil war in 2013 under the Barack Obama administration through CIA operations, followed by the deployment of US troops in 2014 to combat the Islamic State (IS) group, which had seized significant territories in both Iraq and Syria.

However, by the time President Donald Trump assumed office, the US presence in Syria had diminished to 900 troops stationed in the northeast, where Kurdish-led forces held sway.

Just prior to the rebel takeover over the weekend, reports indicated that the United Arab Emirates was facilitating discussions between the Assad government and the US.

This analysis focuses on the United States’ involvement in the Syrian conflict, particularly regarding the various groups it has supported or refrained from supporting over the last ten years.

Syrian Democratic Forces

To begin, it is essential to examine the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), which primarily consists of fighters from the People’s Protection Units (YPG), a faction linked to the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). The US designates the PKK as a terrorist organization.

The US aimed to assist the SDF in its efforts to defeat and prevent the resurgence of ISIS in Syria.

By 2012, Kurdish forces had successfully compelled the Syrian army to withdraw from northeastern Syria. The SDF was formed in 2015 as a coalition of mainly Kurdish groups, with some representation from Arab and other ethnic factions.

Over the next decade, the SDF managed to control approximately 25% of Syrian territory, establishing an administration that operated independently from the central government in Damascus.

In 2019, following President Trump’s announcement of a troop withdrawal, the SDF reached an agreement with the Assad regime. Currently, around 900 of the approximately 2,000 US troops remain stationed in Syria. This agreement permitted Syrian army forces to re-enter certain areas under SDF control to assist in defending against Turkish military actions.

Since the fall of the Assad regime, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) have experienced territorial losses to Turkish-backed factions, prompting the United States to take measures to mitigate the offensives against the SDF.

In the Pentagon’s budget proposal for 2024 under the Biden administration, $156 million has been earmarked for the Counter-Terrorism Equipment Fund (CTEF) aimed at combating ISIS in Syria. This funding is designated for various purposes, including training, equipment, logistics, and infrastructure. For the 2025 budget, the Pentagon has requested $148 million for the same fund, following a $160 million allocation in 2023.

The budget outlines that a significant portion of this funding will be directed towards the SDF and, by extension, the People’s Protection Units (YPG).

According to a Pentagon budget document, “CTEF will continue providing small arms and light weapons to support the SDF.”

While the SDF did not participate in the 2024 rebel offensive that led to the ousting of the Assad government, they expressed their support and welcomed his departure.

Syrian Free Army

Another beneficiary of CTEF funding is the Syrian Free Army (SFA), which should not be confused with the Free Syrian Army (FSA), a coalition of various factions within the Syrian opposition that is now referred to as the Syrian National Army (SNA).

The Syrian Free Army (SFA) operates in the southeastern region of Syria, close to the borders with Iraq and Jordan. It has received support from the United States at the al-Tanf military base, a strategic location in the Syrian desert along the route connecting Damascus and Baghdad.

According to a Pentagon budget document, the SFA is described as an essential ally for coalition forces stationed near the At Tanf Garrison (ATG) in southeastern Syria.

Previously known as Maghawir al-Thawra, the SFA has been trained and supported by the US for several years.

The US government asserts that its assistance to the group has been aimed at combating the Islamic State (IS). Additionally, the SFA has been utilized to help ensure security around the al-Tanf Garrison, which US Air Force Colonel Daniel Magruder has suggested could serve as a strategic leverage point for the US in determining a favorable resolution in Syria.

During the rebel offensive in 2024, the Syrian Free Army had a limited role, particularly in Homs province, where they managed to repel Syrian government forces.

Operation Timber Sycamore

Recently, a leaked email from 2012 has gained attention, in which Jake Sullivan, then assistant national security advisor under President Obama, informs former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton that “AQ is on our side in Syria,” referring to al-Qaeda.

This email excerpt has been referenced as evidence of US support for both al-Qaeda and IS in Syria.

Sullivan notes in the same email that Al-Qaida leader al-Zawahiri urged Muslims in Turkey and the Middle East to support rebel forces in their struggle against the backers of Syrian President Assad through an internet video. He also advised the Syrian populace to avoid depending on the Arab League, Turkey, or the United States for help.

There are no documented instances indicating that the US directly financed the operations of IS or al-Qaeda within Syria.

However, a year later, the Obama administration sanctioned a CIA initiative known as Timber Sycamore, which involved training and arming select Syrian rebels to oppose the Assad regime.

The CIA allocated a total of $1 billion to this program. Nevertheless, the US struggled to maintain oversight of the rebels they supported, facing challenges as the al-Nusra Front, a former al-Qaeda affiliate and precursor to Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), made considerable progress against both al-Qaeda and the Assad government.

The Trump administration ultimately terminated Timber Sycamore, and Trump attempted to withdraw US troops from Syria completely, but this effort was unsuccessful.

Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham

HTS, referred to in English as the Committee for the Liberation of the Levant, is the primary Syrian opposition group responsible for the swift dismantling of the Assad regime.

It was established in January 2017 as the most recent rebranding of Jabhat al-Nusra, also referred to as the Nusra Front, a radical rebel faction initiated by Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2012 to challenge Assad’s regime and establish a Sunni Islamic state in Syria.

In its initial months, Nusra collaborated with the Iraqi group that would eventually evolve into ISIS. However, in 2013, it declared its loyalty to al-Qaeda, leading to a rivalry between Nusra and ISIS.

As time progressed, the association with al-Qaeda became burdensome for Nusra, prompting its leader, Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, to seek distance from al-Qaeda’s global jihadist agenda and to pursue international recognition.

In 2016, Nusra officially severed ties with al-Qaeda, rebranding itself as Jabhat Fatah al-Sham, and systematically eliminated factions intent on conducting attacks beyond Syria. Subsequently, in 2017, it merged with several smaller groups and adopted the name HTS.

The organization is designated as a terrorist group by the United States, which has never provided direct support to HTS.

In 2021, former US ambassador James Jeffrey informed PBS News that HTS had reached out to Washington seeking support, a request he chose to disregard.

“Why should I… take the high-risk position of urging somebody get dropped from the terrorist list?” Jeffrey remarked to PBS.

Ukrainian drone strikes police barracks located in Chechnya

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A Ukrainian drone struck police barracks in Grozny, a southern city, on Thursday, resulting in injuries to four servicemen, according to Ramzan Kadyrov, the leader of Russia’s Chechen Republic.

Kadyrov reported that around 1 a.m. local time, an enemy UAV was “shot down” over the barracks that accommodate a specialized police regiment. The drone exploded upon impact, causing damage to the roof and windows and igniting a small fire that was swiftly extinguished.

“Four servicemen on guard duty sustained minor injuries,” Kadyrov stated on his Telegram channel, labeling the incident as “pathetic.”

He further commented, “In terms of morale, such actions only reinforce our belief in victory and our determination to decisively defeat the enemy.”

Kadyrov shared a video showing a fire truck responding to the scene and the small fire on the upper part of the building.

This incident marks the second significant attack on Chechnya since late October, following a Ukrainian drone strike on a military academy in Gudermes.

Additionally, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that Ukraine launched six US-made ATACMS missiles at a military airfield near Taganrog on Wednesday. All missiles were intercepted, but the “falling fragments” resulted in injuries to an unspecified number of servicemen and caused minor infrastructure damage, according to the MOD.

The MOD stated, “This attack using Western long-range weapons will not go unanswered, and appropriate measures will be taken,” though no further details were provided.

Moscow has dismissed the possibility of deploying its new Oreshnik missiles to target command centers and other locations in Ukraine in retaliation for missile strikes within Russia’s internationally recognized borders.

The Oreshnik was first utilized last month when it targeted a weapons factory in the Ukrainian city of Dnepr. President Vladimir Putin characterized the strike as a response to Washington’s decision to ease restrictions on the use of American-made missiles by Ukraine.

US House of Representatives has passed a defense policy bill with an $895 billion military budget

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U.S. Capitol building on Capitol Hill in Washington.

The U.S. House of Representatives approved a defense policy bill on Wednesday, which outlines a historic $895 billion in annual military expenditures, despite the inclusion of a contentious provision aimed at gender-affirming care for transgender minors. The vote concluded with a count of 281-140 in favor of the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), which will now be reviewed by the Democratic-controlled U.S. Senate.

Beyond the standard NDAA elements concerning military equipment procurement and enhancing competitiveness against adversaries such as China and Russia, this year’s extensive 1,800-page legislation emphasizes improving the living conditions for U.S. military personnel.

It authorizes a 14.5% salary increase for the lowest-ranking service members and a 4.5% increase for the remainder of the force, which is notably higher than typical adjustments. Additionally, it provides for the construction of military housing, educational facilities, and childcare centers.

The bill prohibits the military health program, TRICARE, from covering gender-affirming care for the transgender children of service members if such care could potentially lead to sterilization. The inclusion of this provision highlights the significant focus on transgender issues within U.S. politics and suggests that Republicans intend to continue emphasizing this divisive topic.

President-elect Donald Trump and numerous Republicans criticized Democrats for their support of transgender rights during the 2024 election campaign, which concluded with Republicans maintaining control of the House and gaining control of the Senate and the White House starting next month.

‘WOKE IDEOLOGY’

Following its passage, Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson commended the legislation for realigning the military with its primary mission. “Our service members should understand that their foremost duty is to safeguard our nation, not to adhere to woke ideology,” he stated.

The legislation did not encompass several other Republican initiatives concerning social issues, such as a proposal to prevent TRICARE from covering gender-affirming care for transgender adults and an initiative aimed at reversing the Pentagon’s policy of funding travel for troops seeking abortions in states where the procedure is restricted.

This extensive bill represents one of the few significant legislative measures that Congress enacts annually, with lawmakers taking pride in its passage for over sixty years.

The bill is a product of compromise between Democrats and Republicans in both the House and Senate, achieved after weeks of behind-the-scenes negotiations. Its approval in the House sends it to the Democratic-controlled Senate, where passage would forward it to the White House for President Joe Biden’s signature or veto.

The NDAA authorizes programs for the Pentagon but does not provide funding for them. Congress must separately approve funding through a spending bill for the fiscal year ending in September 2025, which is unlikely to be passed before March.

UN General Assembly call for an immediate, unconditional, and permanent ceasefire in Gaza

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Children at tent camp for displaced people in Gaza

The United Nations General Assembly decisively voted on Wednesday to call for an immediate, unconditional, and permanent ceasefire between Israel and Palestinian militants Hamas in the Gaza Strip, along with the immediate release of all hostages. The ceasefire demand in the resolution – passed with 158 votes in favor in the 193-member assembly – was articulated in more urgent phrasing than a previous call for an immediate humanitarian truce in Gaza that the body “called for” in October 2023 and later “demanded” in December 2023.

General Assembly resolutions are not binding but possess political weight, indicating a global perspective on the conflict. The United States, Israel, and seven other countries opposed the ceasefire resolution, while 13 countries chose to abstain. The world organization also expressed its support for the U. N. Palestinian relief agency UNRWA, passing a second resolution with 159 votes in favor to condemn a new Israeli law that will prohibit UNRWA’s operations in Israel from late January.

It insisted that Israel honor UNRWA’s mandate and “allow its operations to proceed without impediment or restriction. ” The U. S. , Israel, and seven other countries voted against it, while 11 countries abstained. “The messages we send to the world through these resolutions matter. And both of these resolutions have significant problems,” Deputy U. S. Ambassador to the U. N. Robert Wood informed the assembly. “One rewards Hamas and minimizes the necessity to free the hostages, while the other disparages Israel without offering a solution to enhance humanitarian aid to Palestinian civilians,” he stated.

Israel’s U. N. Ambassador Danny Danon accused the U. N. last week of having “an obsession with vilifying Israel,” while Palestinian U. N. envoy Riyad Mansour referred to Gaza as the “open, painful wound for the human family. ”

‘HUNGER, DESPAIR, DEATH’

Israel claims that UNRWA staff participated in the Hamas attack on Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, which ignited the war in Gaza. The U. N. stated that nine UNRWA staff members might have been involved and had been dismissed. An Israel-killed Hamas commander in Lebanon was also discovered to have held an UNRWA position.
“By voting for these resolutions, you are not voting to protect humanitarian values, but to protect an organization that has become a haven for terror,” Danon addressed the assembly on Wednesday before the vote.
UNRWA was created by the General Assembly in 1949 in response to the war that followed the establishment of Israel. The U. N. has consistently asserted that there is no alternative to UNRWA, which delivers aid, health services, and education to millions of Palestinians in Gaza, the West Bank, Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan.
“Gaza doesn’t exist anymore. It is destroyed. Palestinians are confronting hunger, despair, and death,” Slovenia’s U. N. Ambassador Samuel Zbogar told the assembly. “There is no justification for this war to carry on. We require a ceasefire immediately. We need to return hostages now. ”
The conflict in the Palestinian enclave commenced when Hamas gunmen invaded Israeli communities on Oct. 7, 2023, resulting in the deaths of approximately 1,200 individuals and the abduction of around 250 hostages taken back to Hamas-controlled Gaza, as per Israeli estimates.
Since then, the Israeli military has demolished large portions of Gaza, displacing nearly all of its 2. 3 million inhabitants, leading to lethal hunger and disease and claiming more than 44,800 lives, according to Palestinian health authorities, who do not differentiate between combatants and non-combatants.

Russia collaborates with BRICS to establish an AI alliance, according to Putin

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Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a press conference

President Vladimir Putin announced on Wednesday that Russia plans to collaborate with BRICS partners and other nations to advance artificial intelligence, aiming to counter the United States’ leading position in this vital technology of the 21st century.

During Russia’s premier AI conference, Putin revealed that the newly formed AI Alliance Network would encompass national associations and development institutions focused on AI from BRICS nations and other interested countries.

“Russia must engage on equal footing in the global competition to develop advanced artificial intelligence. Our scientists are currently working on cutting-edge solutions,” Putin stated at the conference in Moscow. “We extend an invitation to scientists worldwide to participate in this collaborative effort,” he added.

Western sanctions aimed at limiting Russia’s access to essential technologies for its ongoing conflict in Ukraine have led major microchip manufacturers to cease exports to Russia, significantly hindering its AI initiatives.

Sberbank, Russia’s leading financial institution, is at the forefront of AI development in the country. However, Sberbank CEO German Gref admitted in 2023 that replacing graphics processing units (GPUs), which are critical for AI development, poses a significant challenge for Russia. On Wednesday, the bank announced that national AI associations from BRICS countries, including Brazil, China, India, and South Africa, as well as from Serbia, Indonesia, and other non-BRICS nations, have joined the AI Alliance Network.

The announcement indicated that the network would support collaborative research on technology and AI regulation, while also creating avenues for the sale of AI products in the markets of member nations.

RUSSIA AIMS TO COMPETE WITH GLOBAL LEADERS IN AI DOMINANCE

The United States and China currently lead the world in artificial intelligence capabilities, with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump appointing a “White House AI and Crypto Czar” to maintain the nation’s status as the wealthiest and most technologically advanced country globally.

However, President Putin’s decision to partner with China may alter the competitive landscape of the AI sector. Russia is among ten nations, including the U.S., China, the UK, and Israel, that are actively developing their own generative AI technologies. According to Yakov and Partners, a consultancy founded by former McKinsey professionals in Moscow, this positions Russia to become a more influential player in the field.

The Russian government anticipates that the integration of AI technologies across various industries could contribute an estimated 11.2 trillion roubles ($109 billion) to the nation’s GDP by 2030, a significant increase from just 0.2 trillion roubles ($1.9 billion) in 2023. The country’s AI strategy also aims for 80% of the workforce to possess AI skills by 2030, up from 5% in 2023, with investments in AI projected to increase sevenfold to reach 850 billion roubles.

Sberbank, which has created a generative AI model named GigaChat, along with technology giant Yandex and its YandexGPT model, currently leads the domestic AI market in Russia.

On the Global AI Index by UK-based Tortoise Media, Russia ranks 31st out of 83 countries in terms of AI implementation, innovation, and investment, trailing not only the U.S. and China but also other BRICS nations like India and Brazil. Additionally, Stanford University’s AI vibrancy tool, which assesses 36 countries based on 42 AI metrics, places Russia at 29th.