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Putin to chair meeting on nuclear deterrence, Kremlin says

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Russian President Vladimir Putin chairs a meeting

President Vladimir Putin is set to lead a meeting of Russia’s Security Council on Wednesday focused on nuclear deterrence, according to the Kremlin. This comes as Moscow considers its response to Ukraine’s appeals to Western nations for permission to launch long-range strikes deep into Russian territory.

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine, now in its second and a half year, has resulted in the most significant tension between Russia and the West since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, a period marked by the closest approach to nuclear conflict between the two superpowers during the Cold War.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov characterized the upcoming meeting as a significant occasion. “The president will deliver a speech. The remainder of the discussions will, for obvious reasons, be classified as ‘top secret’,” Peskov informed the media.

Russia has indicated that it is currently updating its nuclear doctrine, which outlines the scenarios under which it might consider using nuclear weapons. Additionally, Putin’s chief advisor on arms control stated on Monday that Russia would not conduct nuclear tests as long as the United States maintains its own testing moratorium, amid speculation that the Kremlin might reconsider its post-Soviet stance on nuclear testing.

Norway investigates alleged links to detonating pagers in Lebanon

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Pagers on display at a meeting room at the Gold Apollo company building in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Norway’s security police (PST) have launched a preliminary investigation following reports that a Norwegian-owned firm may be connected to the sale of pagers to the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, which detonated last week, according to a police attorney speaking to Reuters.

During a two-day span last week, numerous pagers and walkie-talkies utilized by Hezbollah members exploded in Lebanon, resulting in at least 39 fatalities and thousands of injuries. The attacks are widely attributed to Israel, which has not confirmed or denied its involvement.

The specifics regarding how and when the pagers were modified for remote detonation remain unclear. Authorities in Taiwan, Hungary, and Bulgaria are also probing potential links within the supply chain.

“PST has commenced a preliminary investigation to assess whether there are grounds for initiating a full investigation based on media allegations that a Norwegian-owned company might have played a role in supplying pagers to Hezbollah,” stated PST lawyer Haris Hrenovica in a text message to Reuters.

Earlier, he informed the Norwegian news agency NTB that the police currently have no specific suspicions. Bulgarian officials announced last week that they are investigating the Sofia-based company Norta Global Ltd, following a Hungarian media report suggesting its involvement in the pager sales.

Founded in 2022 by Norwegian citizen Rinson Jose, 39, Norta Global Ltd’s incorporation documents indicate he signed the company’s articles of association at the Bulgarian consulate in Oslo, as per records reviewed by Reuters.

Jose did not provide any comments regarding the pagers when contacted by phone last Wednesday and ended the call when questioned about the Bulgarian business. He has not responded to multiple calls and text messages.

When Reuters attempted to reach him on Tuesday of this week, the call went to voicemail.

According to his LinkedIn profile, Jose has been with DN Media Group since February 2020, where he is listed as a member of the sales department. DN Media Group stated that he left for a conference in Boston on September 17.

His last communication with colleagues via email occurred on September 18, as reported by Norwegian media. His employer informed Reuters that they have been unable to contact him since that date.

Additionally, Reuters has found no evidence connecting Norta Global to DN Media Group.

Hezbollah asserts that it has launched rockets at the Mossad headquarters in Tel Aviv

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Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system operates for interceptions as rockets are launched from Lebanon towards Israel, amid cross-border hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel, as seen from Haifa, Israel۔

Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant group, announced on Wednesday that it launched a rocket aimed at the headquarters of the Mossad intelligence agency near Tel Aviv. The group attributed this action to the assassination of its leaders and the destruction of communication devices utilized by its members, marking a significant escalation in tensions that could lead to a full-scale war between the adversaries.

Israeli air defense systems intercepted the missile after it was detected crossing from Lebanon, prompting warning sirens to sound in Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic hub. Fortunately, there were no reports of damage or injuries, and the military indicated that civil defense protocols for central Israel remained unchanged.

Warning sirens were also activated in other central regions, including Netanya. In recent days, the Iranian-backed Hezbollah has launched hundreds of missiles and rockets at Israel, as the conflict along the southern Lebanese border has intensified.

The Israeli military has responded with its most extensive airstrikes of the conflict this week, targeting Hezbollah leaders and striking numerous locations deep within Lebanon. A notable airstrike on Tuesday in Beirut resulted in the death of senior Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Qubaisi, who was in charge of the group’s missile and rocket operations. He is among several prominent figures who have been killed since hostilities erupted between Israel and Hezbollah nearly a year ago, coinciding with the ongoing Gaza conflict.

Since Monday morning, Israel’s military operations have resulted in the deaths of 569 individuals, including 50 children, and left 1,835 injured in Lebanon, according to Health Minister Firass Abiad in an interview with Al Jazeera Mubasher TV. The renewed offensive against Hezbollah has raised concerns that the conflict involving Israel and the militant group Hamas in Gaza is escalating, potentially destabilizing the broader Middle East region.

The U.N. Security Council is scheduled to convene on Wednesday to address the ongoing conflict. U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres emphasized the precarious situation, stating, “Lebanon is at the brink. The people of Lebanon – the people of Israel – and the people of the world – cannot afford Lebanon to become another Gaza.”

Lebanon’s Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib reported that approximately half a million people have been displaced within the country. He mentioned that the Lebanese prime minister is expected to engage with U.S. officials in the coming days. In Beirut, many displaced individuals from southern Lebanon are taking refuge in schools and other facilities.

The Israeli military announced that its air force carried out “extensive strikes” on Tuesday targeting Hezbollah positions throughout southern Lebanon, including weapons depots and numerous launchers aimed at Israeli territory. Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant stated that these operations have significantly weakened Hezbollah, asserting that the group has endured substantial losses in its command structure, personnel, and combat capabilities. He assured Israeli troops that these attacks would persist.

 

UK deploys military to Cyprus anticipating evacuation from Lebanon

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Smoke billows over southern Lebanon following Israeli strikes.

Britain is deploying troops to Cyprus to assist its citizens in evacuating from Lebanon, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer cautioned that the intensifying conflict between Israel and Hezbollah is pushing the region to a critical point.

In a statement released late Tuesday, the government announced that 700 troops would be sent to Cyprus, enhancing its existing military presence, which includes two Royal Navy ships, aircraft, and transport helicopters.

“Recent developments have highlighted the precarious nature of this situation, which is why we strongly advise British nationals to leave immediately,” stated Defence Secretary John Healey.

“Our government is taking all necessary measures to ensure support for British nationals in the event of further escalation.”

The ongoing fierce clashes between Israel and the Iran-aligned Lebanese Hezbollah have raised concerns that nearly a year of conflict could spiral out of control, further destabilizing the Middle East, where a separate war between Hamas and Israel is already ongoing in Gaza.

Starmer expressed significant concern regarding the escalating situation in the region. “All parties must step back from the edge,” he stated during an interview with LBC radio. “I will be traveling to New York for the UN General Assembly to engage with colleagues and allies, and my primary message will be one of ceasefire. It is crucial to de-escalate the situation.”

According to Health Minister Firass Abiad, Israel’s military actions since Monday morning have resulted in the deaths of 569 individuals, including 50 children, and left 1,835 injured in Lebanon. Thousands of displaced residents from southern Lebanon are currently seeking refuge in schools and other facilities.

Israel has indicated a shift in focus from Gaza to its northern border, where Hezbollah has been launching rockets into Israel in support of Hamas, which also receives backing from Iran.

China has carried out a test launch of intercontinental ballistic missile

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Military vehicles carrying DF-41 intercontinental ballistic missiles travel past Tiananmen Square during the military parade marking the 70th founding anniversary of People's Republic of China, on its National Day in Beijing.

On Wednesday, China announced that it had successfully executed a rare launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) into the Pacific Ocean, a development that is likely to heighten international apprehensions regarding the nation’s nuclear expansion.

The missile, equipped with a dummy warhead, was launched by the People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force at 8:44 a.m. Beijing time (0044 GMT) and “landed in designated maritime areas,” as stated by the Chinese defense ministry. The ministry emphasized that this action was part of a “routine arrangement in our annual training plan” and was not aimed at any specific country or target.

According to a separate report from Xinhua, China had “notified the relevant countries in advance,” although it did not specify the missile’s trajectory or the exact location in the “high seas of the Pacific Ocean” where it landed.

Xinhua further reported that the launch “effectively assessed the performance of weapons and equipment, as well as the training proficiency of the troops, achieving the intended objectives.”

A Japan Coast Guard official noted that it had received a navigation warning from China on Monday regarding “space debris” in three areas: the South China Sea, the Pacific north of the Philippines’ Luzon island, and the South Pacific, on Wednesday.

rare test launch

The official did not provide confirmation regarding any connection to the reported missile launch. Analysts noted that it is uncommon for China to launch long-range missiles into the sea, as the country typically conducts such tests discreetly in remote regions like Inner Mongolia.

The People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force, responsible for managing both conventional and nuclear missiles, has been assigned the task of modernizing China’s nuclear capabilities in response to advancements such as enhanced U.S. missile defense systems, improved surveillance technologies, and stronger international alliances.

Security analyst Alexander Neill, based in Singapore, mentioned that while the specifics of the missile involved remain unclear, the test aligns with China’s strategy of “engaging and warning” simultaneously, especially in light of the recent improvements in military diplomacy between Beijing and Washington.

He emphasized that, in light of recent corruption issues within the Rocket Force, it is crucial for China to project an image of stability and normalcy at the highest levels of its military. Neill, an adjunct fellow at Hawaii’s Pacific Forum think-tank, stated, “This action is intended to clearly demonstrate that the mechanisms for delivering its strategic deterrent remain operational.”

Some online monitoring systems observed the missile launch occurring from Hainan instead of an inland silo, indicating it was likely a test of China’s increasing inventory of road-mobile long-range missiles. Analysts suggest that the pace of China’s nuclear expansion exceeds what is necessary for credible minimum deterrence, which is the smallest strategic arsenal required to avert attacks.

For years, Beijing has adhered to a “no first use” policy regarding nuclear weapons; however, experts point out that the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is advancing to match major nuclear powers by developing a nascent triad of capabilities that can be deployed from land, sea, and air. The Chinese military has stressed that the Central Military Commission, led by President Xi Jinping, serves as the sole authority for nuclear command.

nuclear warheads

China has faced ongoing criticism from the United States regarding the lack of transparency in its nuclear development and halted nuclear discussions with Washington in July due to U.S. arms sales to Taiwan. According to Pentagon estimates from last year, China possesses over 500 operational nuclear warheads, with around 350 classified as intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and is projected to exceed 1,000 warheads by 2030. The Pentagon’s report also indicated that China is building hundreds of silos for land-based ICBMs.

In comparison, the United States and Russia have 1,770 and 1,710 operational warheads, respectively. The Pentagon noted that by 2030, many of China’s weapons are expected to be maintained at higher readiness levels. Taiwan, which operates as a democratically governed entity but is claimed by China, has reported an uptick in Chinese military activities around the island over the past five years.

On Wednesday, Taiwan’s defense ministry announced the detection of 23 Chinese military aircraft, including J-16 fighters and drones, conducting long-range missions to the southeast and east of the island. The ministry also mentioned observing “intensive” Chinese missile launches and other military exercises, although specific locations were not disclosed. In response, Taiwan has deployed its own air and naval forces to monitor the situation.

Philippines reported that a Chinese navy helicopter monitored its aircraft while on patrol

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On Wednesday, the Philippines reported that a Chinese navy helicopter shadowed and approached one of its fisheries bureau aircraft during a patrol near the contested Scarborough Shoal, marking another confrontation between the two nations embroiled in a longstanding territorial dispute.

The Philippine National Security Council (NSC) indicated that the incident occurred on Monday, but the aircraft successfully completed its mission. The Chinese embassy in Manila has yet to respond to inquiries regarding the matter.

This incident adds to a series of aerial and maritime encounters between the two countries, which have been at odds over various areas in the South China Sea, including the Scarborough Shoal, a highly disputed location that has been under the control of China’s coast guard for over ten years.

The NSC stated that China’s actions constituted a violation of air safety regulations. China asserts its claim over nearly the entire South China Sea, including the Scarborough Shoal, based on interpretations of historical maps, which is sought after for its rich fishing resources and picturesque lagoon.

The shoal, named after a British ship that became stranded there centuries ago, is situated 200 km (124 miles) from the Philippines, within its exclusive economic zone (EEZ). A ruling by the Permanent Court of Arbitration in 2016 determined that China’s extensive claims lacked support from international law, a verdict that Beijing has chosen to disregard. The tribunal did not address the issue of sovereignty over the Scarborough Shoal, noting instead that it serves as a traditional fishing area for multiple nations.

In a separate development, the Philippine defense minister urged China on Wednesday to withdraw its vessels from the EEZ and accused Beijing of attempting to interfere with the country’s defense operations, including the use of a U.S. mid-range missile system for training purposes. According to a report from Reuters last week, the United States has no immediate intentions to remove the missile system, which can be outfitted with cruise missiles capable of targeting Chinese locations.

“China claims to be alarmed, but that constitutes interference in our domestic matters,” Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro stated to the press. “Why don’t they set an example? They should dismantle their nuclear arsenal, eliminate all their ballistic missile capabilities, and withdraw from the West Philippine Sea and Mischief Reef,” he continued, referring to the Philippine EEZ and a manmade, militarized island constructed by China.

China has voiced concerns regarding the deployment of the Typhon system in the Philippines, accusing the United States of exacerbating an arms race. Philippine military chief Romeo Brawner expressed on Wednesday that if it were up to him, “I would prefer to have the Typhons stationed in the Philippines indefinitely.”

Iran played a key role in facilitating discussions for the transfer of Russian missiles to the Houthis

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Houthi-mobilized fighters ride atop a car in Sanaa, Yemen

Iran has facilitated ongoing clandestine negotiations between Russia and Yemen’s Houthi rebels regarding the potential transfer of anti-ship missiles to the militant group, according to three Western and regional sources. This development underscores the strengthening relationship between Tehran and Moscow.

Seven sources indicated that Russia has not yet made a decision on whether to supply the Yakhont missiles, also referred to as P-800 Oniks. Experts believe that these missiles would enable the Houthis to target commercial vessels in the Red Sea with greater precision, thereby heightening the risk to U.S. and European naval forces tasked with their protection.

The Wall Street Journal reported in July that Russia was contemplating the missile transfer, while Iran’s intermediary role had not been disclosed prior to this.

Since November, the Houthis have conducted multiple drone and missile attacks on vessels in the vital shipping lanes of the Red Sea, ostensibly to express solidarity with Palestinians amid the ongoing conflict with Israel. They have successfully sunk at least two ships and captured another, which has disrupted global maritime operations, compelling shipping companies to reroute their cargoes and, as reported by industry sources, increasing insurance premiums for vessels operating in the Red Sea.

The United States and Britain have targeted Houthi positions; however, these actions have not succeeded in halting the group’s assaults. According to two regional officials familiar with the discussions, the Houthis and Russian representatives have convened in Tehran at least twice this year, with ongoing negotiations regarding the provision of numerous missiles that possess a range of approximately 300 km (186 miles). Additional meetings in Tehran are anticipated in the coming weeks.

Russia has previously supplied the Yakhont missile to Hezbollah, which is backed by Iran. One source indicated that these discussions commenced under the administration of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, who tragically passed away in a helicopter crash in May. A Western intelligence source stated, “Russia is in talks with the Houthis regarding the transfer of Yakhont supersonic anti-ship missiles.” It was noted that while the Iranians are facilitating these negotiations, they prefer to remain unacknowledged in the process.

Neither the Iranian mission to the U.N. nor the Russian Defense Ministry provided comments when approached. Mohamed Abdel-Salam, the official spokesperson for the Houthis, stated, “We have no knowledge of what you have mentioned.” A senior U.S. official refrained from specifying the systems that might be transferred but confirmed that discussions about supplying missiles to the Houthis are indeed taking place, labeling the situation as “very worrisome.” A U.S. Defense Department official remarked that any attempts to enhance the Houthis’ capabilities would “undermine the shared international interest in global freedom of navigation and stability in the Red Sea and broader Middle East.”

Russia and Iran have been strengthening their military collaboration in light of Russia’s ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Earlier this month, the United States reported that Tehran has allegedly supplied ballistic missiles to Moscow for deployment against Ukraine.

According to three sources, one reason for Moscow’s support of the Houthis is the concern that Western nations might permit Ukraine to utilize their weaponry to extend strikes deeper into Russian territory.

A senior U.S. official indicated that discussions between Russia and the Houthis appear to be connected to the U.S. stance on Ukraine and its willingness to accommodate Kyiv’s requests for the removal of restrictions on the use of long-range U.S.-provided weapons for targeting locations within Russia.

In June, Russian President Vladimir Putin cautioned that Moscow might provide advanced long-range weaponry—comparable to what the U.S. and its allies supply to Ukraine—to adversaries of the West globally.

The Yakhont missile is recognized as one of the most sophisticated anti-ship missiles in existence, engineered to skim just above the ocean’s surface to evade detection while traveling at speeds exceeding twice the speed of sound, which complicates interception efforts.

Fabian Hinz, a ballistic missile expert at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, indicated that Russia’s provision of Yakhont missiles to the Houthis would significantly alter the security landscape in the region. Hinz noted, “The P-800 is a considerably more advanced system compared to the anti-ship ballistic and cruise missiles previously utilized by the Houthis.”

He explained that the Houthis could target U.S., British, and other naval vessels that have been safeguarding commercial shipping in the Red Sea from Houthi drone and missile threats. Additionally, these missiles could serve as land-attack weapons, posing a potential risk to Saudi Arabia.

A senior U.S. official revealed that a group of U.S. representatives engaged in discussions regarding the Russia-Houthi negotiations with Saudi officials during a visit to Saudi Arabia this summer, and that the U.S. has addressed the matter with Moscow. Sources informed Reuters that the Saudis have also expressed their concerns directly to the Russian government.

The Saudi government has not provided a response to requests for comments. Hinz emphasized that Russia would need to assist with the technical details of missile delivery, including ensuring the transfer and operationalization of the missiles without detection by the United States. Furthermore, the Houthis would require training on the system.

The senior U.S. official cautioned that the consequences of such a transfer could be severe. “The Saudis are alarmed. We are alarmed, and other regional partners are alarmed,” the official stated. “The Houthis are already inflicting significant damage in the Red Sea, and this development would empower them further.”

Biden says some things are more important than staying in power

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President Joe Biden speaks during the United Nations General Assembly

President Joe Biden addressed the UN General Assembly on Tuesday, emphasizing that “some things are more important than staying in power,” as he made a final appeal for the values of democracy to the assembly of global leaders.

In the concluding moments of his last address to the UNGA, Biden reflected on his choice to withdraw from his reelection campaign earlier this summer.

“Serving as president has been the greatest honor of my life,” Biden stated. “There is still so much I wish to accomplish.”

He continued, “As much as I cherish this role, my love for my country surpasses it. After 50 years of public service, I believe it is time for a new generation of leaders to guide our nation forward.”

Having spent years advocating for the significance of democracy and the critical juncture he perceives the world to be at, Biden urged his fellow leaders to prioritize their citizens over personal ambitions.

“My fellow leaders, let us always remember that some things are more important than remaining in power. The well-being of your people is what truly matters,” he asserted.

“Always remember, we are here to serve the people, not the other way around. The future will be shaped by those who empower their citizens to live freely, think independently, innovate, educate, and love openly without fear.”

“That is the essence of democracy,” Biden concluded. “It is not the property of any single nation.”

Pakistan’s PM says ‘burning issue of Gaza’ is main priority at the UN

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Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif arrives for the United Nations General Assembly

World leaders are not only expressing their opinions from the prominent podium today; significant discussions are also taking place on the sidelines in New York.

While waiting for an elevator at the UN headquarters, Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif spoke to CNN, highlighting that one of his key focuses this week is “the urgent issue of Gaza and the ongoing genocide there.”

“The international community must come together to find a resolution,” he emphasized, asserting that the UN gathering “should serve as the venue” for addressing the conflict.

Accompanying him was Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif, who echoed the prime minister’s concerns.

“I believe the primary issue at hand is Gaza,” he stated.

He acknowledged that the UN might be a “limited platform” for essential discussions on the matter, but noted that “it remains the only multilateral forum available at this time.”

Erdogan says principles of UN and Western values are deteriorating in Gaza

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Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan stated on Tuesday that the principles of the United Nations and the values upheld by the Western world are deteriorating in Gaza amid the ongoing conflict, urging for an “alliance of humanity” to intervene against Israel.

During his address at the United Nations General Assembly, Erdogan expressed strong condemnation of Israel’s military actions in the Gaza Strip and criticized Western nations for their support of Israel.

“Alongside the children in Gaza, the United Nations system is perishing, the truth is vanishing, the values that the West professes to uphold are fading, and the aspirations of humanity for a more equitable world are being extinguished one by one,” Erdogan remarked.

As a NATO member, Turkey has denounced Israel’s military operations in Gaza, which were launched in response to a cross-border attack by the Palestinian militant group Hamas on October 7 of the previous year. Turkey has ceased all trade with Israel and has sought to join a genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice.

Israel has consistently rejected the genocide allegations, asserting that its actions in Gaza are acts of self-defense aimed at the Hamas leadership.

“Those who claim to advocate for a ceasefire are simultaneously supplying Israel with weapons and ammunition behind the scenes, enabling it to perpetuate its atrocities. This represents a lack of consistency and sincerity,” Erdogan stated.

He also expressed Turkey’s solidarity with the people of Lebanon as Israel conducts airstrikes targeting Hezbollah fighters in the region.

 

Taiwan asserts that China is the true source of hacking activities, countering recent cyber allegations

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Senior government officials in Taipei asserted on Tuesday that the real hackers are in China, not Taiwan, dismissing Beijing’s claims of a Taiwanese hacking group as misinformation.

On Monday, China’s national security ministry accused a military-supported Taiwanese group named Anonymous 64 of conducting cyberattacks against Chinese targets, urging citizens to report any “anti-propaganda sabotage.” The ministry also identified three individuals it alleged were associated with the group, releasing their photographs.

Taiwan, which operates as a democratic entity but is claimed by China, often voices concerns about being a target of Chinese cyber intrusions and disinformation campaigns. However, it is uncommon for Beijing to retaliate with accusations against Taipei.

During a press conference at parliament, Taiwan’s Defence Minister Wellington Koo emphasized that China is the primary perpetrator of global cyberattacks. “China leads the world in daily cyber assaults, targeting Taiwan and other nations that share democratic values. They are the true instigators,” he stated, refuting China’s allegations.

Koo further asserted that the military is committed to defending the nation and will not be deterred by these claims, nor will they have a chilling effect on their operations.

Premier Cho Jung-tai also addressed the parliament, stating that China is disseminating false information to undermine Taiwan. “We must vigorously counter the false accusations directed at us,” Cho remarked.

China has consistently maintained its stance on the potential use of force to assert control over Taiwan, while Taiwan’s government firmly rejects Beijing’s claims of sovereignty, insisting that only the people of Taiwan can determine their own future.

China strongly opposes Taiwan President Lai Ching-te, labeling him a “separatist.” The Chinese government has consistently rejected Lai’s numerous proposals for dialogue.

Lula promotes Brazil-China initiative for Ukraine-Russia at the United Nations

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Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva proposed on Tuesday a plan aimed at facilitating discussions between Russia and Ukraine to resolve their ongoing conflict, a suggestion that has already been dismissed by Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

Lula, who has communicated with Russian President Vladimir Putin regarding this proposal, did not elaborate on the specifics of the six-point plan during his address at the United Nations General Assembly.

According to Brazilian diplomats, Lula’s foreign policy adviser, Celso Amorim, will seek to garner support for the initiative from representatives of 20 nations during a meeting in New York on Friday.

Zelenskiy has characterized the proposal as “destructive” and has maintained that his own summit initiative represents the only feasible path to peace.

The Chinese-Brazilian proposal, which was unveiled in May following Amorim’s visit to Beijing, advocates for de-escalation and the resumption of direct dialogue without necessitating a withdrawal of Russian forces.

The upcoming meeting will involve countries from the Global South, excluding European nations that are the most fervent supporters of Ukraine. Invited participants include Colombia, Egypt, Indonesia, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates.

A Brazilian official informed Reuters, “The goal is to understand what these countries can contribute, build a critical mass, and reassess these points. Many nations, including Europeans, are eager to listen.”

In his address, Lula cautioned that the situation in Gaza is escalating “dangerously” into Lebanon, reinforcing the urgency for a ceasefire. He remarked, “The right to defend has morphed into a right to seek revenge, hindering efforts to negotiate the release of hostages and delaying a ceasefire.”

The Brazilian president reiterated his nation’s call for reform within the United Nations, asserting that the organization is failing to adequately represent global interests and to prevent conflicts.

He condemned the substantial annual expenditure on military capabilities, advocating instead for these resources to be redirected towards alleviating poverty and combating climate change.

Lula urged a reevaluation of the U.N. charter to enhance the General Assembly’s role in fostering peace and to reform the multilateral organization.

He stated, “The exclusion of Latin America and Africa from permanent positions on the U.N. Security Council is an unacceptable remnant of colonial history.”

Which leaders of Hezbollah and Hamas have been targeted and killed?

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Israel has intensified its airstrikes targeting Hezbollah commanders in Beirut, coinciding with a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict with the Iran-supported Lebanese group. Below is a summary of some operations attributed to Israel against leaders and commanders of Hezbollah and Hamas.

HEZBOLLAH

IBRAHIM QUBAISI

On September 24, an airstrike in the southern suburbs of Beirut resulted in the death of Ibrahim Qubaisi, a commander and prominent figure within Hezbollah’s rocket division, according to two security sources.

IBRAHIM AQIL

On September 20, an Israeli strike in the southern suburbs of Beirut killed Ibrahim Aqil, Hezbollah’s operations commander and a member of the group’s senior military council. Aqil, who is also known by the aliases Tahsin and Abdelqader, is part of Hezbollah’s Jihad Council. The United States has linked him to the Beirut truck bombings that targeted the American embassy in April 1983, resulting in 63 fatalities, as well as the bombing of a U.S. Marine barracks six months later, which claimed 241 lives.

Fuad Shukr

Fuad Shukr, a prominent commander of Hezbollah, was killed in an Israeli airstrike on the southern suburbs of Beirut on July 30. The Israeli military identified him as a key associate of Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah. Shukr had been a significant military figure within Hezbollah since its formation by Iran’s Revolutionary Guards over forty years ago. In 2015, the United States sanctioned Shukr, accusing him of being instrumental in the 1983 bombing of the U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut, which resulted in the deaths of 241 American service members.

Mohammed Nasser

Mohammed Nasser was also a casualty of an Israeli airstrike on July 3. Israel confirmed his death, stating that he led a unit responsible for launching attacks from southwestern Lebanon into Israel. As a senior commander in Hezbollah, Nasser oversaw a segment of the group’s operations along the border, according to high-ranking security officials in Lebanon.

Taleb Abdallah

Additionally, Taleb Abdallah, a senior field commander of Hezbollah, was killed on June 12 in an Israeli strike that targeted a command and control center in southern Lebanon.

Security sources in Lebanon reported that he held the position of Hezbollah’s commander for the central region of the southern border area and was of equal rank to Nasser. His death led the group to launch a significant barrage of rockets into Israel.

HAMAS

MOHAMMED DEIF

According to Israel’s military, Deif was killed following airstrikes in the Khan Younis area of Gaza on July 13, based on intelligence evaluations. The elusive Deif had previously survived seven assassination attempts by Israel. He is thought to have played a key role in orchestrating Hamas’ attack on southern Israel on October 7, which ignited the Gaza conflict. Hamas has yet to confirm his death.

ISMAIL HANIYEH

The Palestinian militant group announced that Ismail Haniyeh was killed in the early hours of July 31 in Iran. He was struck by a missile that hit the state guesthouse where he was residing. Israel has not taken responsibility for the attack.

SALEH AL-AROURI

On January 2, 2024, an Israeli drone strike in the Dahiyeh area of Beirut resulted in the death of Saleh al-Arouri, the Deputy Hamas chief. Arouri was also recognized as the founder of Hamas’ military wing, the Qassam Brigades.

Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Qubaisi killed in targeted airstrike

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Smoke billows over southern Lebanon following Israeli strikes.

An Israeli airstrike in Beirut resulted in the death of Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Qubaisi, according to two security sources in Lebanon. Qubaisi was identified as a prominent figure within Hezbollah’s rocket division.

On Tuesday, an Israeli airstrike specifically targeted Qubaisi in the southern suburbs of Beirut, leading to the deaths of six individuals, as reported by the security sources. This attack followed statements from Israel’s military chief, who indicated that the Iran-backed group would not be afforded any respite.

The airstrike marked the second consecutive day of Israeli operations in Hezbollah-controlled areas of the Lebanese capital, raising concerns that nearly a year of ongoing conflict could escalate into a full-scale war, further destabilizing the oil-rich region of the Middle East.

After almost a year of conflict with the Palestinian militant group Hamas along its southern border, Israel is now redirecting its attention to the northern front, where Hezbollah has been launching rockets into Israeli territory in solidarity with Hamas, which receives support from Iran.

Sources in Lebanon refrained from disclosing the identity of the individual targeted in Tuesday’s airstrike on Beirut, stating that his status remains uncertain. The health ministry reported an initial count of six fatalities and 15 injuries resulting from the strike.

The Israeli military, which conducted airstrikes against Hezbollah on Monday—an action that Lebanese officials claim resulted in over 500 casualties—confirmed a strike in Beirut on Tuesday but did not provide further details.

The airstrike struck a building in the typically bustling Ghobeiry neighborhood. One security source shared an image depicting damage to the upper floor of the five-story structure. Israel’s military chief indicated that operations against Hezbollah would be intensified.

The circumstances demand sustained and vigorous efforts across all fronts, stated Military Chief of General Staff Herzi Halevi following a security evaluation. According to Lebanese officials, the airstrikes conducted by Israel on Monday resulted in 558 fatalities, including 50 children and 94 women. Additionally, they reported that 1,835 individuals were injured, with tens of thousands more seeking refuge.

The rising casualty figures and relentless pressure from the region’s most formidable military have instigated widespread fear in Lebanon, a nation that endured significant devastation during the 2006 conflict between Israel and Hezbollah.

“We are anticipating victory, God willing, because as long as we have a neighbor like Israel, we cannot feel secure,” remarked Hassan Omar, a resident of Beirut.

Afif Ibrahim, a taxi driver from southern Lebanon, expressed a resolute stance.

“They (Israel) wish for us (Lebanese) to submit, but we only bow to God in our prayers; we yield to no one but God,” he asserted.

Calls for diplomatic intervention are intensifying as the situation deteriorates, with UN human rights chief Volker Turk appealing to all nations and influential parties to prevent further escalation in Lebanon.

“I am confident that a pathway to de-escalation between Israel and Lebanon can still be established, leading to a diplomatic resolution that enables people to return to their homes,” stated Jake Sullivan, the White House national security adviser, during an interview with MSNBC.

The ongoing conflict has heightened concerns that the United States, a close ally of Israel, and Iran, a regional power with various proxies throughout the Middle East—including Hezbollah, Yemen’s Houthis, and armed factions in Iraq—could become embroiled in a broader war.

Recent military actions have increased pressure on Hezbollah, which experienced significant losses last week due to a major security breach involving the explosion of thousands of communication devices used by its members. This incident is believed to have been orchestrated by Israel, known for its history of sophisticated operations abroad, although it has neither confirmed nor denied involvement.

On Tuesday, Hezbollah’s media office reported that Israel was distributing leaflets containing a “very dangerous” barcode over Lebanon’s eastern Bekaa Valley, warning that scanning it with a phone would “extract all information” from any device. The Israeli military has not yet responded to these claims, and Hezbollah did not disclose any additional content on the flyers.

Israel’s advanced intelligence and technological capabilities have provided it with a significant advantage in both Lebanon and Gaza, allowing it to locate and eliminate key Hezbollah and Hamas leaders.

On Tuesday, the Israeli military reported that approximately 55 projectiles had entered Israeli territory during the latest assaults, with most being intercepted. In response, Hezbollah claimed to have targeted the logistical warehouses of the 146th Division at the Naftali base with a barrage of rockets.

Iran aims to ease tensions in Iraq stemming from a spy controversy as regional conflicts intensify

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Brigadier General Esmail Qaani, the head of the Revolutionary Guards' Quds Force

Iran’s Quds Force commander recently urged Iraqi political leaders to temper their criticism of Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, who is currently facing allegations of espionage, according to multiple sources.

This request, made during Esmail Qaani’s visit to Baghdad, aims to stabilize a crucial regional ally amid rising tensions in the Middle East. Seven Iraqi sources, including members of political parties that met with the Iranian commander, confirmed this information, with a regional diplomat also corroborating the details. Due to the private nature of the discussions, all sources requested anonymity.

This initiative to support al-Sudani underscores Iran’s apprehensions regarding potential instability in Iraq, a country where Tehran has historically maintained influence through various Iran-aligned armed groups and Shi’ite political factions.

Iran is particularly focused on preserving its regional alliances in light of the prolonged conflict in Gaza, which has significantly weakened Hamas, and the escalating situation in Lebanon that poses considerable challenges for Hezbollah, another key ally.

The Quds Force serves as the international division of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC). There was no immediate response from the IRGC or Iran’s Foreign Ministry regarding requests for comments. Qaani advised Iraqi leaders within the Coordination Framework, a coalition of Shi’ite Muslim parties that selected Sudani for the position, to refrain from undermining the prime minister in light of accusations that his office had conducted surveillance on senior Iraqi officials and politicians. He emphasized that maintaining stability in Iraq is crucial given the ongoing regional violence.

The allegations of espionage, which have been refuted by Sudani’s advisers and lack any publicly presented evidence, were brought to light by lawmakers and prominent media outlets last month, creating significant controversy in Iraq.

Supporters and independent analysts suggest that Sudani’s political rivals have amplified these claims in an effort to undermine him ahead of the parliamentary elections scheduled for next year. Critics of the prime minister assert that the allegations are of considerable gravity.

Iraq’s judiciary has initiated an investigation into the claims, led by Faiq Zaidan, the head of the Supreme Judicial Council. Some Iraqi officials have indicated that the findings of this investigation could influence Sudani’s continuation in office.

For Sudani, this controversy arises at a particularly sensitive time. He is working to revitalize the economy after years of conflict while preparing for elections and managing the influence of powerful, Iran-aligned factions, all while negotiating the reduction of U.S.-led forces in Iraq, which have been present for many years.

Renad Mansour from the London-based Chatham House think tank noted that Iran is keen to avoid escalating tensions in Iraq, where internal rivalries have frequently led to violence, especially with parliamentary elections approaching in 2025.

“At a pivotal moment for Iran, as it seeks to address Israeli aggression, the infighting among Iraqi groups is destabilizing. The last thing Iran desires right now is a political crisis in Iraq,” Mansour stated.

This is not the first instance of Qaani intervening in Iraq during a crisis. In February, he urged Iran-backed armed factions in Iraq to halt attacks on U.S. forces following a strike by one group on a U.S. base in Jordan, which resulted in the deaths of three American soldiers, as reported by Reuters at the time.

There were no attacks for several months following that intervention.

Biden not giving up on efforts for Gaza ceasefire and hostage return, White House says

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Children at tent camp for displaced people in Gaza

U.S. President Joe Biden is committed to achieving a ceasefire in Gaza and negotiating a hostage agreement with Hamas, while also aiming to reduce tensions along Israel’s border with Lebanon, according to White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan on Tuesday.

“He is fully engaged and has not lost hope,” Sullivan stated during an interview with MSNBC, just hours before Biden’s final address to the UN General Assembly as president.

Biden plans to meet with global leaders in New York to discuss a ceasefire and a hostage resolution in Gaza, with the goal of preventing a broader conflict in the Middle East, Sullivan noted.

He recognized the difficulties in persuading both Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar to reach an agreement, mentioning that Hamas and Sinwar, in particular, are resistant to negotiations.

“Nonetheless, we are resolute in our efforts,” Sullivan affirmed.

The United States has been actively engaged in efforts to mitigate tensions in the region following Hamas’ assault on Israel from Gaza on October 7, which triggered nearly a year of Israeli military responses in the coastal area.

The ongoing conflict with Hezbollah along Israel’s northern border has experienced fluctuations since October 7, with current tensions rising, according to reports.

However, Sullivan expressed confidence, stating, “We have successfully navigated previous escalations, and I believe there remains an opportunity to pursue de-escalation between Israel and Lebanon, ultimately leading to a diplomatic resolution that enables people to return to their homes.”

Ethiopia worried over arms shipments to Somalia

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A general view shows the Mogadishu Sea Port after an Egyptian warship docked to deliver a second major cache of weaponry in Mogadishu

Ethiopia’s foreign minister has expressed concerns that the ammunition provided to Somalia may intensify conflict and potentially be redirected to terrorist groups, as reported by the state news agency on Tuesday. This warning followed the arrival of an Egyptian warship in Mogadishu, which delivered heavy weaponry, marking the second arms shipment within a month after Egypt and Somalia established a joint security agreement in August.

Ethiopia, which is landlocked and has deployed thousands of troops in Somalia to combat al Qaeda-affiliated insurgents, has experienced tensions with the Mogadishu government over its plans to develop a port in the self-declared region of Somaliland.

This disagreement has led Somalia to strengthen its ties with Egypt, a country that has had longstanding disputes with Ethiopia regarding the construction of a significant hydroelectric dam on the Nile River’s headwaters.

thiopia’s Foreign Affairs Minister Taye Astke Selassie expressed his concerns regarding the supply of ammunition from “external forces,” warning that it could further destabilize the already fragile security situation and potentially fall into the hands of terrorists in Somalia, as reported by the Ethiopia News Agency.

Somalia’s government has not yet responded to Taye’s comments.

Rashid Abdi, an analyst at the Sahan Research think-tank, noted, “The risk of weapons ending up in the wrong hands is significant. Al Shabaab has been a major beneficiary, acquiring substantial amounts of weaponry through raids on enemy bases in 2023.”

In December, the U.N. Security Council lifted a decades-long arms embargo that had been in place since Somalia descended into civil war over 30 years ago.

In January, Ethiopia reached an agreement to lease a 20 km (12 miles) stretch of coastline from Somaliland, a region of Somalia that has claimed independence and has functioned with a degree of autonomy since 1991, in exchange for potential recognition of its sovereignty.

In retaliation, Somalia threatened to remove Ethiopian troops, who are present as part of a peacekeeping mission and under bilateral agreements, by the end of the year if the port deal was not annulled.

 

 

EU’s Borrell states that Lebanon is on the brink of a full-scale war

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The situation between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is nearing the brink of a full-scale war, according to the European Union’s foreign policy chief.

On Monday, Josep Borrell expressed grave concerns, stating, “This situation is extremely dangerous and worrying. We are on the verge of a full-fledged war.” He emphasized the alarming rise in civilian casualties and the escalating intensity of military actions, questioning what else could be termed a war situation.

Borrell acknowledged that while efforts to de-escalate the conflict are ongoing, the fears of a wider regional conflict are materializing.

He highlighted the heavy toll on civilians and stressed the urgent need for diplomatic initiatives to avert a complete war. “Now is the time in New York for everyone to mobilize their efforts to halt this trajectory towards war,” he urged.

Russian nuclear bombers spotted flying near the coast of Alaska

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Two Russian TU-95MS strategic bombers, capable of carrying nuclear weapons, conducted a flight over neutral waters of the Bering Sea close to Alaska’s western coastline, as reported by the Russian state news agency TASS on Tuesday, referencing the Defence Ministry.

The ministry indicated that the flight adhered to international regulations and that the bombers were accompanied by fighter aircraft.

Kremlin warns Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon could lead to significant destabilization in the Middle East

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Smoke billows over southern Lebanon, amid ongoing cross-border hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces

The Kremlin issued a warning on Tuesday regarding the Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon, indicating that these actions could lead to significant destabilization in the Middle East and escalate the ongoing conflict.

On the same day, Israel targeted Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon, while the Iran-aligned group retaliated by attacking military sites in northern Israel. This occurred shortly after a series of Israeli airstrikes resulted in numerous casualties among Hezbollah forces.

In response to inquiries about the Israeli operations, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated during a conference call with reporters, “This situation poses a potentially grave threat to the expansion of the conflict and the overall destabilization of the region. Naturally, this raises serious concerns for us.”

Additionally, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova condemned what she described as “indiscriminate” attacks on Lebanon that endanger civilian lives.

“It is imperative to halt the cycle of violence before the situation escalates beyond control. We urge an immediate end to hostilities,” she emphasized. “We must take all necessary measures to avert a full-scale armed conflict in the Middle East, the dire consequences of which would impact everyone in the region and beyond. We are prepared to collaborate with both international and regional partners to prevent such a disastrous outcome.”

Russia has strengthened its relationship with Iran, a supporter of Hezbollah, following the initiation of its “special military operation” in Ukraine. The country has raised concerns regarding the proportionality of Israel’s airstrikes in Gaza and the resulting civilian casualties, which has led to increased tensions in its relations with Israel.